Is COVID-19 Spreading Again?

Yes — and Texas is squarely in the path of the current summer wave. With school returning and fewer mandates regarding vaccinations, many may be wondering what the best way is to remain alert. Here is the latest on what is happening and what Texans should do to protect themselves.

COVID-19 Is Now Growing in All 50 States

The most recent federal data confirms a nationwide resurgence. As of August 12, 2026, the CDC estimates that COVID-19 infections are growing or likely growing in all 50 states — with zero states showing declining or stable transmission. SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater are up 106% compared to July 2026 — a significant and rapid increase that wastewater surveillance experts say is a reliable early warning signal of rising community transmission.

Texas and the South Are the Most Vulnerable Right Now

Texas faces elevated risk compared to most of the country heading into this wave. The CDC's June 2026 outlook anticipated more summer transmission in Southern and Western areas — including Texas — that experienced comparatively little COVID-19 activity during the 2025-2026 winter, and may now have less recent immunity from infection. Wastewater data shows elevated COVID-19 levels in The Woodlands area of Texas — one of just a handful of sewersheds nationally reporting significantly higher viral concentrations, indicating that Houston's northern suburbs are among the earliest Texas communities to see measurable increases.

The Good News: This Wave Is Milder Than Previous Ones

Despite the rising numbers, public health experts are cautiously reassuring. This summer's wave appears to be continuing the trend of getting milder each year — sending fewer people to the hospital and causing fewer deaths. Experts attribute this to growing herd immunity, with more people having had multiple infections and vaccinations offering broad protection. The BA.3.2 variant, nicknamed Cicada, is fueling roughly 15% of current cases but has not triggered a major surge in the United States.

Precautions Every Texan Should Take Right Now

With the FIFA World Cup recently concluded and back-to-school season beginning across Texas this week, the conditions for accelerated spread are present. Texans should get the updated 2026 COVID-19 vaccine if not already done — it remains the most effective tool against severe illness. Test before attending large gatherings or visiting vulnerable family members. Improve indoor ventilation and consider masking in crowded indoor spaces. Suppose you develop symptoms — sore throat, fatigue, fever, or congestion — test immediately and isolate until you receive a negative result. High-risk Texans, including those over 65 or immunocompromised, should consult their physician about antiviral treatment options immediately upon testing positive.